楼主:中华新闻 时间:2018年02月22日 16:45:31 点击:0 回复:0
I want to wish Britain’s Jewish Community and Jewish people around the world a very happy Hanukkah. As the winter nights grow colder and darker, so begins this eight-day festival celebrating the miracle of lights. Each of you will have your own cherished family traditions for how you mark this holiday. But Hanukkah is always a time for family and friends to get together; lighting the Hanukkiah, playing games, sharing gifts, and just as these rituals are passed from generation to generation, so too is the abiding lesson of this festival; that no matter how hard the struggles we face, alone and together, our love, hope and dedication to each other will always bring us through. So to all those observing Hanukkah over the next eight days, I hope you enjoy a fun and peaceful holiday with those people you love most. Chanukah Sameach.201506/380276But we put in a bid on Wednesday morning. By that, I was in Boston Montana.星期三的早上,我们出了一个报价。那时,我已经在蒙塔那了。And I talked to Bill McDonough at the New York Federal.我和纽约储备局的比尔·麦克唐纳通了话。At 10 oclock we were having a meet with bankers at 10 o’clock that morning in New York.他们在10点会和一批家碰头。And I called them, we actually..., then he called me in Wyoming before ten, New York time.我把意向传达过去了。比尔·麦克唐纳在10点前给在怀俄明给我打了电话。And we made a bid, because they were being done in a long distance, put the outline in the bid.我们做了一个报价。因为是打长途电话,所以只给出了报价的大概数。But in the end, we bid for 250 million essentially for the net assets but we would have put in 3 and 3/4 billion on top of that.最终,我们对2.5亿美元的净资产做了报价,但我们会在追加到37.5亿左右。We’d been 3 billion from Berkshire Hathway,700 million from AIG and 300 million from Goldman Sachs.伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司分到30个亿, AIG出7个亿, Goldman Sachs出3个亿。And we submitted that but we put a very short time limit on that because when you are bidding on 100 million worth of securities that are moving around,我们把投标交了上去,但是我们的投标时限很短,因为你不可能对价值以亿元计的券you dont want to leave a fixed price bid out there for very long,because you are going to getting a shot.在一段长时间内固定价格,我也担心我们的报价会被用来作待价而沽的筹码。In the end the bankers made the deal, but it was an interesting period.最后,家们把合同搞定了,过程很有意思。The whole (LTCM) Long Term Capital management that I hope most of you are familiar with it.整个长期资金管理基金的历史,我不知道在座的各位对它有多熟悉,But whole story is really fascinating其实是波澜壮阔的。because if you take John Meriwether, Eric Rosenfeld, Larry Hillenbrand, Greg Hawkins, Victor Haghani, the two Nobel prize winners: Myron Scholes and Robert Merton.如果你把那16个人,像约翰·梅里韦瑟,埃里克·罗森菲尔德,拉里·希任布兰德,格雷格·霍金斯,维克多·汉格汉尼,还有两个诺贝尔经济学奖的获得者,迈伦·斯科尔斯和罗伯特·默顿If you take the 16 of them, that they have about as highest average IQ as any 16 people working together in one business in the country, including Microsoft or what you want to name.把他们在一起,他们的IQ水平应该比像微软这样公司里的任何16人加起来的IQ都高。So that an incredible amount of intellect in one room. Now you combine that with the fact with those 16 and had extensive experience in the field they were operating in.那真的是一个有着|难以置信的智商的团队,而且他们所有人在业界都有着大量的实践经验。These were not a bunch of guys (who) made their money you know selling mens clothing and all of a sudden went into the securities business.他们可不是一帮在男装领域赚了钱,然后突然转向券的人。They had in aggregate, the 16, probably had 350 or 400 years of experience doing exactly what they were doing,这 16个人加起来的经验可能有350年到400年,而且是一直专精于他们目前所从事的领域。and then you throw in the third factor that most of them had virtually all of their very substantial networking with their business.还有一点,他们所有人在金融界都有着极强大极坚实的关系网,So they had their own money up. Hundreds and hundreds of millions of dollars is their own money up.数以亿计的资金也来自于这个关系网,其实就是他们自己的资金。Super high intellect and working in a field that they know. On essential they went broke.拥有超级智商,在他们内行的领域,结果他们却破产了。201308/254214

And, as I have tried to show, democracy is in deep trouble in America. The financial crisis has inflicted hardship on a population that does not like to face harsh reality. President Obama has deployed the ;confidence multiplier; and claims to have contained the recession. If there is a double dip the population will become susceptible to all kinds of fear mongering and populist demagogy. If President Obama fails, the next administration will be sorely tempted to create diversions from troubles at home and that could be very dangerous for the world.此外,正如我要说明的,美国民主已深陷泥潭。金融危机使得一部分不思面对残酷现实的美国民众陷入了困境。奥巴马总统采用了“鼓舞士气”的做法,声称经济衰退已得到控制。如果经济再次下滑,人们会极易受到各种蛊惑人心的谣言的影响的。如果奥巴马总统下台,那么,下届政府将只能通过制造激烈的事端来转移人们对国内问题的注意力,这将对世界和平构成威胁。President Obama has the right vision, but he needs to be more far-sighted. He believes in international cooperation rather than the Bush-Cheney idea of might is right. But he is preoccupied with many pressing problems. Reinventing the international financial system is not high on his agenda. Some of his economic advisers still seem to believe that the efficient market hypothesis is valid, except once in a hundred years. The financial institutions that have survived are in a stronger competitive position than ever before and they will resist a systematic overhaul that would curb their powers. What is lacking is a general recognition that the system is broken and needs to be reinvented. That is why it would be so important that the theory of financial markets I have outlined in these lectures should gain wider acceptance.奥巴马总统的视角是对的,但眼光不够长远。他相信的是国际合作,而不是布什—切尼政府所信奉的强权就是公理的观点。但他的头脑正在被其他很多紧迫的问题所困扰,而重塑国际金融体系在他的议事日程似乎排不上名次。他的一些经济顾问似乎仍然相信绝大多数情况下有效市场假说的正确性,除了百年难遇的情况。那些幸存下来的金融机构比以往更有竞争优势,它们会抵制全面的改革,因为那样会限制它们的权力。现在所缺乏的是一种普遍的共识,即人们应该认识到旧有的体制已经瓦解,需要重建。我今天所讲的关于金融市场的理论受到更广泛接受是很重要的,原因正在于此。201410/332709

Thank you. Thank you so much. Thank you very much, President Van Zant, and thanks to everyone at the New School for welcoming us today. Im delighted to be back.You know, over the past few months, I have had the opportunity to listen to Americans concerns about an economy that still isnt delivering for them. Its not delivering the way that it should. It still seems, to most Americans that I have spoken with, that it is stacked for those at the top.But Ive also heard about the hopes that people have for their future – going to college without drowning in debt; starting that small business theyve always dreamed about; getting a job that pays well enough to support a family and provide for a secure retirement.Previous generations of Americans built the greatest economy and strongest middle class the world has ever known on the promise of a basic bargain: if you work hard and do your part, you should be able to get ahead. And when you get ahead, America gets ahead. But over the past several decades, that bargain has eroded. Our job is to make it strong again.For 35 years, Republicans have argued that if we give more wealth to those at the top by cutting their taxes and letting big corporations write their own rules, it will trickle down, it will trickle down to everyone else. Yet every time they have a chance to try that approach, it explodes the national debt, concentrates wealth even more and does practically nothing to help hard-working Americans.Twice now in the past 20 years, a Democratic president has had to come in and clean up the mess left behind.I think the results speak for themselves. Under President Clinton – I like the sound of that – America saw the longest peacetime expansion in our history.Nearly 23 million jobs, a balanced budget and a surplus for the future, and most importantly, incomes rose across the board, not just for those aly at the top. Eight years later, President Obama and the American peoples hard work pulled us back from the brink of depression. President Obama saved the auto industry, imposed new rules on Wall Street and provided health care to 16 million Americans.Now today, today, as the shadow of crisis recedes and longer-term challenges come into focus, I believe we have to build a ;growth and fairness; economy. You cant have one without the other. We cant create enough jobs and new businesses without more growth, and we cant build strong families and support our consumer economy without more fairness. We need both, because while America is standing again, we are not yet running the way we should. Corporate profits are at near-record highs and Americans are working as hard as ever. But paychecks have barely budged in real terms. Families today are stretched in so many directions, and so are their budgets. Out-of-pocket costs of health care, child care, hearing for aging parents are rising a lot faster than wages.I hear this everywhere I go.The single mom who talked to me about juggling a job and classes at community college while raising three kids. She doesnt expect anything to come easy. But if she got a raise, everything wouldnt be quite so hard.The grandmother who works around the clock providing childcare to other peoples kids. Shes proud of her work, but the pay is barely enough to live on, especially with the soaring price of her prescription drugs.The young entrepreneur whose dream of buying a bowling alley where he worked as a teenager was nearly derailed by his student debt. If he can grow his business, hell be able to pay off his debt and pay his employees, including himself, more too.Millions of hard-working Americans tell similar stories. Wages need to rise to keep up with cost, paychecks need to grow. Families who work hard and do their part deserve to get ahead and stay ahead. The defining economic challenge of our time is clear:We must raise incomes for hard-working Americans, so they can afford a middle-class life. We must drive strong and steady income growth that lifts up families and lifts up our country. And that…and that will be my mission, from the first day I am President to the last. I…I will get up every day thinking about the families of America, like the family that I came from, with a hard-working dad who started a small business and scrimped and saved, and gave us a good middle-class life. I will be thinking about all the people that I represented here in New York and the stories that they told me, and that I worked with them to improve. And I will, as your President, take on this challenge against the backdrop of major changes in our economy and the global economy that didnt start with the recession and wont end with the recovery.201508/395621

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